Members Trade Update: $AMZN

BotTrigger Trade Update: $AMZN is now up $40+ in after hours on earnings hovering around the $955 area. Congrats everyone!

In 2017 alone we were in on AMZN @ $797.58 → then out @ $845.00 → then back in @ $874.01. So we've missed about 30 points of upside so far. We're going to be increasing the stringency in which sell calls gets made on Class A Stocks. Let's distinguish something important here. When was it ever a bad time to own AMZN? Since the post financial crisis era, AMZN has only ever corrected -30% on 2 occasions. And we've seen about four -20% (range) corrections. Each time AMZN recovered and later eclipsed the highs.

The point here is this, AMZN is really one to hold indefinitely. Short of needing immediate cash, AMZN, FB, GOOG, NFLX, AAPL, PCLN are all in a class of their own. We will from here on only be selling half positions in AMZN when there are absurd extremes to the upside on a relative scale. Market volatility & shenanigans will occur but those have always been buying opportunities. We know that sell orders bring AMZN down every quarter down to the 21 day moving average at least once per quarter; the 50 day exponential moving average is visited at least 3x per year. We're going to model & table this all out in another post. The point is, these have all been buying opportunities. Right now the portfolio is uncomfortably underweight AMZN at only 5% allocated to this name. In the coming weeks we will be restructuring the portfolio cleaning up losers and prioritizing higher allocations on winners and the inclusions of more Class A Stocks like AMZN, FB, NFLX. GOOG. A more formal announcement for Members will be sent via email.

Some of the greatest pearls shared by Jesse Livermore:

“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”

“The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money everyday, as though they were working for regular wages.”

“Buy right, sit tight.”

“Nobody can catch all the fluctuations.”

“There is a time for all things, but I didn’t know it. And that is precisely what beats so many men in Wall Street who are very far from being in the main sucker class. There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. Not many can always have adequate reasons for buying and selling stocks daily – or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play.”

“It takes time to make money.”

“Don’t give me timing, give me time.”

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These results are based on performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Each trade is executed in BotTrigger's S-Corp trading account in the BotTrigger portfolio managed exclusively by Mike Saad, founder & CEO of BotTrigger of Lovical Inc & Inc (umbrella corp). The performance results shown in BotTrigger's portfolio may vary at certain times of the day due to our API feeds that pull the current price of open or closed positions from Yahoo Finance.  Although BotTrigger has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark by more than 50% per annum since inception, August of 2016, no representation is being made & or promised that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. BotTrigger so far this 2018, is on pace to achieve it's largest annual YTD return now in it's 3rd year since inception. This performance assumption is not promised but is being communicated that so far we have achieved the highest rate of return on a YTD & YOY (year over year basis). If a majority of our trade setups fail to materialize based on our analysis or trade thesis, it is absolutely possible to close below our running 50% average if not negative. BotTrigger may & often times does  implore hedging strategies and/or stop-loss precautions in the event that the BotTrigger portfolio sustains heavy losses that might cause the cumulative net value of BotTrigger's portfolio value to near below our 50% threshhold of YTD gains. Our goal at minimum is to be up YTD by up to at least 50% or greater. In the event the net weighting of our trade allocations drops the entire portfolio value below this threshold, then triggered sell signals are generated to reduce to a sizeable position of cash.

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