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513 Garden St - Studio C  |  Santa Barbara CA 93101       info@bottrigger.com  |   805-825-7777

© 2016-2019 by BotTrigger Inc.

These results are based on performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Each trade is executed in BotTrigger's S-Corp trading account in the BotTrigger portfolio managed exclusively by Mike Saad, founder & CEO of BotTrigger of Lovical Inc & MomentumStockAlerts.com Inc (umbrella corp). The performance results shown in BotTrigger's portfolio may vary at certain times of the day due to our API feeds that pull the current price of open or closed positions from Yahoo Finance.  Although BotTrigger has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark by more than 50% per annum since inception, August of 2016, no representation is being made & or promised that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. BotTrigger so far this 2018, is on pace to achieve it's largest annual YTD return now in it's 3rd year since inception. This performance assumption is not promised but is being communicated that so far we have achieved the highest rate of return on a YTD & YOY (year over year basis). If a majority of our trade setups fail to materialize based on our analysis or trade thesis, it is absolutely possible to close below our running 50% average if not negative. BotTrigger may & often times does  implore hedging strategies and/or stop-loss precautions in the event that the BotTrigger portfolio sustains heavy losses that might cause the cumulative net value of BotTrigger's portfolio value to near below our 50% threshhold of YTD gains. Our goal at minimum is to be up YTD by up to at least 50% or greater. In the event the net weighting of our trade allocations drops the entire portfolio value below this threshold, then triggered sell signals are generated to reduce to a sizeable position of cash.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and may not reflect potential deductions for fees which may reduce actual realized returns. Any historical returns may not reflect actual future performance and any investor on BotTrigger may experience different results from those shown. All our trade alerts are real-time but in some cases may be delayed due to technical delays with our SMS/MMS delivery provider or the speed in which a Member's mobile carrier accepts the depository of our delivered communications and then how soon a Member's carrier may deliver that trade alert/ message to our Members. Delivery times are nearly instant from the time we click "SEND" and often delivered to Member's mobile phones within 10 to 30 seconds; but on very rare occasion that delivery might get bounced or delayed; again this is rare but it has been known to happen. There will be times that BotTrigger's communicated entry is below or above the pricing our Members may receive communication due to market delays or delays with our SMS/MMS Mobile Text delivery provider, EzTexting 

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BotTrigger’s services do not constitute “crowdfunding” as described in Title III of the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (“JOBS Act”). BotTrigger does not accept any trading capital from Members or any respective parties with regards to BotTrigger's S-Corp under Lovical Inc & MomentumStockAlerts.com

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$SPY: Market Outlook (Higher High Ahead) - Multi Year Bull Market on Horizon



The following evidence will be presented to highlight why the path of least resistance for the the SPY is much higher & about to takeoff on a multi-year bull run.

1) Two Major Support Levels Being Held

2) Macro Pattern Cultivation/Recognition

3) Inverse Head & Shoulder Bottom

  • Breakout Above Neckline

  • Retest of Breakout

  • Reversal of Retest

4) Year Long Bull Flag Breakout

The SPY is currently setting up for a multi-year bull cycle. We understand sentiment & imagination run emotionally wild in the market. Many refuse to believe that the market making new highs is much stronger in probability than the market "tanking" as they like to say. Understandably so considering the market has been in a sideways ranging pattern since December of 2014. Much of that range has been afflicted with heavy volatility that has really tested & exhausted investor mettle.

BotTrigger is neither staunch Bull nor Bear. We look at the data on deck and then it's rigorously analyzed for probability. There is a very defined paradigm of engagement with how the Buy & Sell signals get triggered. Right now we're seeing evidence to suggest that the market is on the precipice of the next major bull cycle.

Not just new highs, but rather a continuation of the trend that proceeded this 2-year caged bull. Let's look at some of those signals:

Evidence #1 → Two Major Support Levels Being Held + Bounce of the 21

weekly view | click to expand

$213 range held by 2 major support levels (highlighted in green). What we have above is price action authoritatively bouncing a convergence of 2 major support lines. We also have a bounce of the 21 week moving average. This area has historically been respected in bull trends. This kind of alignment can look cute but it's seldom enough to declare victory and is usually more of a "lets wait and see how this all plays out."

But we have much more as we'll address below.

Evidence #2 → Macro Pattern Cultivation / Recognition

weekly view | click to expand

In the above pic, we can see a clear cut inverse head & shoulder, also known as a "Head & Shoulders Bottom (Reversal). This formation is one of the most credible reversal patterns there is, this and the double bottom, or W formation.

This pattern is statistically superior when considered within a MACRO sample of data. The larger the time frame data, the more accurate the win-rate is when forecasting the outcome. At BotTrigger, we're mostly always looking at the big macro picture to identify breakout & breakdown trends. The statistical win rate on this formation is very high when you consider a large sample of data. The win rate is much lower when examined under shorter time frames such as minute, hourly, and even daily time frames (which all have higher false signals or fake-outs) than when dealing with the weekly, monthly, and/or quarterly time frames. What we largely focus on is identifying pattern cultivation on weekly, monthly and even quarterly time frames. Why? Because Mr. Market is very noisy and full of sly hands. That's a post for another discussion. Point is, Macro time frames on record, have a much higher win ratio then shorter term time frames.

Evidence #3 → Inverse Head & Shoulder Bottom With 1 Year Worth of Data

So as we can see in the pic here, this reversal Head & Shoulder Bottom has been cultivating for nearly a full year.

Not only do we have a breakout above the neckline that is clear cut, but we have the whole shabang for what ultimately confirms recognition of this pattern being valid and ultimately the probability of successfully forecasting future price action. Here it is, we have all 3:

✓Breakout of Neckline ✓Retest of Breakout ✓Reversal of Retest

As we can see in the picture below, we have a breakout of the neckline, followed by a retest of the neckline, and ultimately a reversal of that retest that is underway.

weekly view | click to expand

This is pattern cultivation at its finest and when you get these 3 consecutive behaviors that tandemly respond in in the following relationship, you have the setup for a monster move on the horizon.

Evidence #5 → Year Long Bull Flag Breakout

On top of everything above, another interpretation that can be layered on top of all the other evidence is this year-long bull flag that the SPY has cultivated.

weekly view | click to expand

This is all setting the stage for higher prices in this coming market.

The text book target on this bull flag is approximately $240. Make no mistake about it, $240 is not beyond us. It's entirely within the realm of possibility and more an inevitable than anything else. When and what happens till then will all be a test of patience and being able to see the big picture for what it's really worth. Although there are many other indicators that we layer on top of the above analysis, these are all core concepts that should be appreciated in what's happening right now on the S&P 500 & the markets in general.

That's what we model for at BotTrigger, statistical probability based on a formulaic set of conditions & rules that when achieved, suggest with a high degree of certainty/probability that an asset class is on the verge of a major rally, or potentially looking toppy.

This market is notorious for shenanigans and the regular circus of volatility. The big big picture is in understanding that the trend has cultivated a series of higher highs and higher lows. Until then, the benefit of doubt goes to the buyers.

BotTrigger will update Members with the appropriate trade alert when & if there is change in the analysis.


Some of the greatest pearls shared by Jesse Livermore:

“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”

“The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money everyday, as though they were working for regular wages.”

“Buy right, sit tight.”

“Nobody can catch all the fluctuations.”

“There is a time for all things, but I didn’t know it. And that is precisely what beats so many men in Wall Street who are very far from being in the main sucker class. There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. Not many can always have adequate reasons for buying and selling stocks daily – or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play.”

“It takes time to make money.”

“Don’t give me timing, give me time.”